low-probability, high-impact outcomes
Por um escritor misterioso
Descrição
There's an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering the likelihood of that outcome multiplied by the impact of that outcome. This is illustrated…
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The quantification of low-probability–high-consequences events: part I. A generic multi-risk approach
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Project risk assessment: example with a risk matrix template
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